Predictors Associated with COVID-19 deaths in Ethiopia

Predictors Associated with COVID-19

Keywords: COVID-19, Predictors, Multiple linear regression, Ethiopia

Abstract

Background: Coronavirus disease is an infectious disease that causes a newly discovered coronavirus. Ethiopia is one of the most impacted countries relative to the proportion of COVID-19 case growth and infection. The purpose of this investigation was to identify the determinants of COVID-19 disease in Ethiopia. Subjects & Methods: The source of the data for this study was the 2020 Ethiopia health ministry from March up to July using multiple linear regression models. Results: Among 468,814 total tests, 9,027 recovered, 20,900 confirmed cases, and 365 deaths from Coronavirus diseases in Ethiopia. Critical cases (β= 0.570, p= 0.006) and average temperature (β= -35.061, p= 0.003) variables were statistically significant. Conclusion: Critical or serious cases significantly and positively affect the deaths of this pandemic disease, while average temperature significantly and negatively affects the deaths of COVID-19 diseases in Ethiopia.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Chang MC, Seo WS, Park D, Hur J. Analysis of SARS-CoV- 2 Screening Clinic (Including Drive-through System) Data at a Single University Hospital in South Korea from 27 January 2020 to 31 March 2020 During the COVID-19 Outbreak. Healthcare (Basel). 2020;8(2):145–145. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/healthcare8020145.

Cascella M, Rajnik M, Cuomo A, Dulebohn SC, Napoli RD. Evaluation, and Treatment of Coronavirus (COVID-19). StatPearls [Internet]. 2020;.

Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, Wang X, Zhou L, Tong Y, et al. Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia. N Engl J Med. 2020;382(13):1199–1207. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2001316.

Bi P, Wang J, Hiller JE. Weather: driving force behind the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome in China? Intern Med J. 2007;37(8):550–554. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1445-5994.2007.01358.x.

Casanova LM, Jeon S, Rutala WA, Weber DJ, Sobsey MD. Effects of Air Temperature and Relative Humidity on Coronavirus Survival on Surfaces. Appl Environ Microbiol. 2010;76(9):2712–2717. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1128/aem.02291-09.

Chan KH, Peiris JSM, Lam SY, Poon LLM, Yuen KY, Seto WH. The Effects of Temperature and Relative Humidity on the Viability of the SARS Coronavirus. Adv Virol. 2011;2011:1–7. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/734690.

van Doremalen N, Bushmaker T, Munster V. Stability of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) under different environmental conditions. Euro Surveill. 2013;18(38):20590–20590. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es2013.18.38.20590.

Prata DN, Rodrigues W, Bermejo PH. Temperature signifi- cantly changes COVID-19 transmission in (sub)tropical cities of Brazil. Sci Total Environ. 2020;729:138862. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138862.

Bannister-Tyrrell M, Meyer A, Faverjon C, Cameron A. Preliminary evidence that higher temperatures are associated with a lower incidence of COVID-19, for cases reported globally up to 29th. Front Public Health. 2020;8:367. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00367.

Liang LL, Tseng CH, Ho HJ, Wu CY. Covid-19 mortality is negatively associated with test number and government effectiveness. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):12567. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-02068862-x.

Chaudhry R, Dranitsaris G, Mubashir T, Bartoszko J, Riazi S. A country level analysis measuring the impact of government actions, country preparedness and socioeconomic factors on COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes. EClinicalMedicine. 2020;25:100464. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100464.

Singhal T. Clinical characteristics of 82 cases of death from COVID-19. Indian J Pediatr . 2020;87(4):281–286. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12098-020-03263-6.

Published
2020-10-06
How to Cite
Mihret, Y. A. (2020). Predictors Associated with COVID-19 deaths in Ethiopia. Asian Journal of Medical Research, 9(3), 1-4. Retrieved from http://aijournals.com/index.php/ajmr/article/view/1687
Section
Miscellaneous